← 归档索引 · 2026-11-05 10:47 · 动态市场扫描-10:30
# Cron Job: 动态市场扫描-10:30
**Job ID:** 0dcde44e6c8e
**Run Time:** 2026-11-05 10:47:50
**Schedule:** 30 10 * * 1-5
**Prompt Characters:** 54484
## Prompt
[IMPORTANT: The user has invoked the "taoge-four-layer-funnel" skill, indicating they want you to follow its instructions. The full skill content is loaded below.]
---
name: taoge-four-layer-funnel
description: "涛哥四层漏斗——有主力+可持续+找介入+持有管理。收到个股/板块分析请求时加载，按四层漏斗逐层判定。"
tags: [主力, 买点, 漏斗, 持仓管理, 涛哥体系]
created: 2026-09-10
---
# 涛哥四层漏斗分析框架
> 来源：老板2026-09-10对涛哥直播深度学习后构建
> 原则：从"找便宜股"切换成"在不低的位置找安全的行为结构"
## 前置铁律
```
R0: 大盘没稳 → 全部信号降一级
判断标准：深成指近3日是否止跌+止跌日放量
两个条件都满足 → 看板块/个股
任一不满足 → 只看大盘
```
---
## 第1层：确认"有主力"（不问价格问行为）
四查清单：
```
查1 低点建仓证据
条件：波段低点量价异常≥3次
标准：vol > MA20(vol) * 1.3 且 pct_chg > 0
判定：次数/数量 > 板块均值 = 主力最喜欢
查2 高点无逃跑
条件：波段高点卖出量 < 建仓量 20%
60-70% = 趋势转跌（逃跑）
20-60% = 调整（分歧）
<20% = 中继（洗盘）
查3 吸售状态
条件：下跌轨迹由快变慢（跌幅递减）
表现：连续阴线实体缩小+量缩
含义：老主力不舍得卖=抛压枯竭
查4 板块验证
条件：多板块主力分布+抱团 = 趋势前置
警告：单一细分独走 = 警惕（可能是个股行为非主力行为）
```
**通过标准**：查1+查2同时通过 → 进入第2层
**否决**：查2判定"逃跑" → 直接退出
---
## 第2层：过滤"可持续"（有主力≠能持续）
```
判1 共识五阶段定位
① 聪明钱建仓期 → 吃鱼身（最佳介入）
② 机构进来不走期 → 吃鱼腹（可介入）
③ 机构加速拉升期 → 鱼尾上半（轻仓跟）
④ 散户共识期 → 鱼尾下半（反向指标，减仓）
⑤ 主力出货期 → 不参与
判2 内生动力三要素
需求旺 ✓
供给不足 ✓
量价提升 ✓
→ 三要素≥2 = 强驱动
→ 政策驱动型只给反弹级预期
判3 硬锚≥2个
capex / BD授权 / 单机价值量 / 订单 / 财报连续性
挂不上锚的叙事 = 定性为故事（非主线）
判4 主线性 vs 热点性
主线性 = 潜伏建仓 + 硬基本面 + 持续 → 重仓死缠
热点性 = 事件刺激 + 无潜伏 + 短暂 → 不参与
判5 环境折价
大盘信号 → 全部降一级
④的信号当⑤用，⑤的信号无效
```
**通过标准**：判4判定"主线性" → 进入第3层
**否决**：判4判定"热点性" → 不参与
---
## 第3层：找介入点（支撑→止跌→买点三级）
### 支撑点（事前画防线）
```
锚1：主力换手成本区（前建仓成本区）
锚2：二线支撑+边际改善
锚3：前低/波段低点（"砸不破前低"=V型买点一半）
锚4：均线只做定位（MA20/60失守=结构警报，但方向判断只认量价异常）
```
### 止跌点（行为确认，不是猜的）
```
① 下跌动能减弱（吸售）+ 缩量不破位
② 小额多次回流出现（机构做加法）
③ 低位看小时级订单流（散户被吓跑，日线量不大是常态）
```
### 买点（三买点白名单，外不看）
```
买点① V型洗盘（底部三步）
条件：砸下来不破前低 + 下午收回 + 缩量
60分钟级别当日进
性质：左侧偏右
买点② 龙形流入共振
条件：当日大额单次流入 + 板块大盘量能共振 + 非加速末端
性质：右侧确认，胜率最高
买点③ 回踩二次确认
条件：首波拉升后缩量回踩 + 不破主力成本区
先过七维鉴别（缩量洗盘70%+高位强势71%+单日大单50%降权）
性质：补货非出货
```
### 三问前置（买前必答）
```
Q1 主力在吗？（第1层已判）
Q2 成长在吗？（第2层已判）
Q3 止损多少？（买点必须能安放可承受止损）
→ 追高无合法止损 = 放弃
→ 仓位与确定性走
```
---
## 第4层：持有管理
```
双否决：
基本面未变 ∧ 主力无坏行为 = 持有
任一破坏 → 行动
止损三轨（靠纪律兜底不靠买得便宜兜底）：
轨1：破关键支撑位（主力成本区/前低）
轨2：高点出逃信号（卖出>建仓量60%）
轨3：环境崩坏（大盘退潮+板块出逃）
```
---
## 执行顺序
```
① 拉大盘环境 → 判R0
② 拉目标个股60日数据
③ 第1层四查 → 有主力？
④ 第2层五判 → 可持续？
⑤ 第3层找介入点 → 支撑/止跌/买点
⑥ 三问前置 → 能安放止损？
⑦ 第4层持有管理 → 双否决
⑧ 输出：买点+止损+仓位+证伪条件
```
---
## 工具映射
| 层 | 工具 | 状态 |
|:---|:-----|:-----|
| R0 | market_state.py | ✅ |
| 查1-4 | mainforce_check.py（待建） | 🔨 |
| 判1 | consensus_stage.py（待建） | 🔨 |
| 判2-5 | 判断标准在框架中，可直接判 | ✅ |
| 买点 | bottom_structure_check.py + pullback_screener.py | ✅ |
| 止损 | position_guard.py | ✅ |
| 持有 | position_guard.py双否决 | ✅ |
**P0缺口**：mainforce_check.py + consensus_stage.py
[IMPORTANT: The user has invoked the "m60-tactical-entry" skill, indicating they want you to follow its instructions. The full skill content is loaded below.]
---
name: m60-tactical-entry
title: 60分钟战术层 — 精确买卖点捕捉
description: 60分钟找买卖点。日线定位置+主力，60分钟定精确入场/出场时机。收到个股分析请求时加载。
tags: [60分钟, 买卖点, 战术层, 盘感]
version: 1.0
author: Hermes Agent
date: 2026-08-27
license: internal
metadata:
hermes:
tags: [trading, intraday, entry-exit]
related_skills: [pangan-muscle-memory, pan-gan-signals]
---
## When to Use
- 个股日线分析通过后，需要精确买卖点时
- 用户问"什么时候买""什么时候卖""今天走势怎么看"
- 盘中异动捕捉
# 60分钟战术层 — 精确买卖点
> 周线看方向，日线定位置+主力，60分钟找买卖点。
> 日线告诉你"这只票有主力"，60分钟告诉你"主力此刻在动手"。
## 一、三层时间框架
```
周线（参考）→ 日线（主战场）→ 60分钟（战术层）
↓ ↓ ↓
大方向 位置+主力 买卖时机
不决策 决策依据 执行依据
```
**铁律：不跳层。** 没过日线分析，不看60分钟。
## 二、60分钟买入信号（三类）
### 信号1：率先启动
```
条件：
□ 板块内大盘还在跌/震荡时，这只票60分钟先拉大阳
□ 涨幅>3%且量比前一日同时段放大
□ 是板块内第一个出现60分钟异动的
含义：有人在抢筹，板块联动的领头羊
动作：观察，等洗盘确认后买
```
### 信号2：V型洗盘（核心买点）
```
条件：
□ 早盘60分钟砸盘（跌幅>3%）
□ 洗盘低点不破前日低点（主力维护）
□ 下午60分钟拉回，收盘价≥开盘价
含义：主力在洗浮筹，不是出货
动作：下午拉回过程中买入（洗盘低点+3%~5%区间）
```
**实证：生益科技8/26**
- 09:30 高开128.62
- 10:30 砸到124.33（-3.4%）
- 洗盘低点124 > 前日低点122 → 守住 ✅
- 15:00 收回130.01 → V型洗盘确认 ✅
- 买入点：129（下午拉回过程中）
### 信号3：缩量横盘后突破
```
条件：
□ 连续2-3根60分钟K线缩量横盘（振幅<2%）
□ 某根60分钟突然放量突破平台上沿
□ 突破时量比>1.5
含义：主力洗完盘开始推
动作：突破确认后买入
```
## 三、60分钟卖出信号（三类）
### 信号1：高位放量滞涨
```
条件：
□ 连续2根60分钟放量（量比>1.5）但涨幅缩小
□ 或出现60分钟长上影线
含义：主力在高位派发
动作：减仓50%+
```
### 信号2：跌破60分钟平台
```
条件：
□ 横盘后跌破60分钟最低点
□ 收盘价跌破60分钟MA20
含义：支撑破了
动作：清仓
```
### 信号3：冲高回落破均线
```
条件：
□ 快速拉高后回落
□ 跌破60分钟MA20且不能收回
含义：短线见顶
动作：减仓或清仓
```
## 四、60分钟+日线联动判断
| 日线位置 | 60分钟信号 | 动作 |
|:---------|:----------|:-----|
| 低位 | 率先启动/V型洗盘 | 买入（主力在吸筹） |
| 低位 | 放量突破 | 加仓（主升浪启动） |
| 中位 | 缩量横盘后突破 | 持有/轻仓加 |
| 中位 | 高位放量滞涨 | 减仓 |
| 高位 | 任何买入信号 | 不追（高位非买点纪律，需回踩+主力确认，非位置=危险） |
| 高位 | 跌破平台 | 清仓 |
## 五、实操流程
```
每天收盘后（15:30-16:00）：
1. 日线分析通过的票 → 拉60分钟数据
2. 检查三个买入信号（有没有？）
3. 检查三个卖出信号（要不要走？）
4. 记录判断 → --save落台账
盘中（可选）：
1. 10:00 看60分钟第一根K线（方向确认器）
2. 11:00 看有没有V型洗盘信号
3. 14:00 看下午是否收回
4. 14:30 最终确认
```
## 六、关键提醒
**60分钟是战术层，不是决策层。** 它告诉你"什么时候动手"，不告诉你"该不该动手"。
该不该动手 → 日线+大盘决定
什么时候动手 → 60分钟决定
**两者缺一不可：**
- 只看日线不看60分钟 → 买在高点/卖在低点
- 只看60分钟不看日线 → 在大盘暴跌时追涨
[IMPORTANT: The user has invoked the "domain-trust-gate" skill, indicating they want you to follow its instructions. The full skill content is loaded below.]
---
name: domain-trust-gate
description: 低可信域(zhuli/technical)判断只记录不作决策依据。AI判断cron加载此门禁。
version: 1.0.0
author: Hermes Agent（富贵系统）
license: MIT
metadata:
hermes:
tags: [trading, judgment, knowledge-trust, gate]
---
# 知识域降权门禁（2026-10-30 老板令「全部落地」·C项）
## When to Use
AI判断类cron（盘中扫描/收盘定论/日复盘/周复盘）在引用知识域或历史判断作决策支撑前加载；任何要拿 zhuli/technical 域知识下结论的场合。
实测依据（北极星2026-10-30，judgments.db逐条回测非声明；★域×源二维口径）：
- 可信：market 68.6% / wuwei 63.5%（其中四维扫描×wuwei 65% n=429、×market 72% n=243 = 资金面量价扫描主力，健康）
- 中等：taoge 53.0%
- **低可信域级标签：technical 41.2% / zhuli 20.1% —— ⚠️已被实测证明是单源污染**：zhuli域144条里124条(86%)是daily_verdict(命中15%，看多腿已停)，四维扫描×technical 52%并不差
- 因此降权必须走**源×域二维**（decision_grade 已内置：行内带source时用该组合实算，n≥20才算；样本不足回落域级并保守降权）
- unknown（样本<20）= 未知 ≠ 可信
## 规则（强制）
1. 低可信（源×域组合命中<45%）与 unknown 的知识/判断【只记录、不作决策依据】——不得作为主线裁定、个股推荐、仓位建议的支撑。
2. 必须引用时，明写「低可信组合（实测命中率X%），仅记录不采信」。
3. 机械查询（不凭记忆）：`cd ~/stock_workspace && ./.venv/bin/python3 -c "from knowledge_domain_trust import domain_trust; print(domain_trust(source='四维扫描'))"`
4. 决策侧分流 API：`decision_grade(rows)` → (决策可用, 降权记录)；rows带source字段自动走二维。
## 为什么
该两域按判断逐条回测命中率低于抛硬币 = 信它 = 系统性反向。
## 源级负期望降级（与域级降权并列的第二种「只记录」门）
**When**：某个 `source` 实测命中率低于毒源线（<45% 且 n≥30）→ 该源不只是「引用时降权」，而是**停止生产方向判断**。判据不新造，复用北极星毒源口径（`judgment_circuit_breaker.toxic_sources()` 从 DB 实算，源名不硬编码 → 源改善自动解禁）。
三层要同时改，只改一层必复发：
1. **写入端（已有）**：`save_judgment` → `should_block(source)` → 拒收进 `judgments_rejected`（数据不丢）。
2. **脚本源的生产端**：在 `save_judgment` 调用**之前**加跳过分支（打印「记录级(熔断源):本轮不产方向判断」+ `continue`）——写入端拒收只是不入库，脚本仍在算、日志仍在刷，等于定额生产负期望。
3. **LLM 源的生产端**：cron prompt 加一段「本轮不落台账、不产方向性判断（看多/看空/回避/买入/中性一律不写），判断只写报告正文并标『记录级·待复验』」+ 恢复条件。`cronjob_manage update` 的 prompt 是**全量替换**，必须把原文整段带上再改，不能只传新增句。
### Pitfalls
- **新增的跳过计数必须单列，不进失败条件**：若复用已有的 `n_skip` 且 `rc = 0 if n_skip == 0 else 1`，降级后每日 cron 必报失败（症状：脚本每晚 rc=1 但一切正常）。用独立计数（如 `n_rec`），汇总行写成「落账 X / 拒收 Y / 记录级跳过 Z(熔断源,非拒收)」。
- **降级必须写恢复条件**（命中率回升 ≥45% 且 n≥30 自动解禁 → 删对应段恢复），否则降级 = 永久静默删除，源修好了也没人知道能开回来。
- **机械校验**：`cd ~/stock_workspace && python3 judgment_circuit_breaker.py --check` 列出当前会被熔断的源；再实跑一次脚本源，确认汇总行三个计数齐全且 rc=0。
## 解降条件
域命中率从 judgments.db 实算回升 ≥45% 且持续4周（每周 n≥20）→ 复核后可解降。
The user has provided the following instruction alongside the skill invocation: [IMPORTANT: You are running as a scheduled cron job. DELIVERY: Your final response will be automatically delivered to the user — do NOT use send_message or try to deliver the output yourself. Just produce your report/output as your final response and the system handles the rest. SILENT: If there is genuinely nothing new to report, respond with exactly "[SILENT]" (nothing else) to suppress delivery. [SILENT] is a literal ASCII control token — never translate or rephrase it, whatever language the rest of your answer uses. Never combine [SILENT] with content — either report your findings normally, or say [SILENT] and nothing more. FAILURE: If a delegated child fails and this cron run must be recorded as failed, put [CRON_FAILURE] on the first line by itself, then explain the child failure on following lines. RECURSION: This is a run of an EXISTING scheduled job — execute the task now. NEVER create or update a cron job because of recurring or future-schedule language in the task prompt below; treat phrasing like "each Monday" or "every day at 9" as context for this run, not as a request to schedule another job.]
[CURRENT RUN TIME: Thursday, 2026-11-05 10:34 CST (UTC+08:00)]
## Output from job 'f06f0ff60f0c'
The following is the most recent output from a preceding cron job. Use it as context for your analysis.
```
# Cron Job: 进化简报-每日22:55（回测结果→明日校准）
**Job ID:** f06f0ff60f0c
**Run Time:** 2026-11-04 22:55:25
**Mode:** no_agent (script)
---
📈 进化简报 2026-11-04（窗口14天）
全量口径(防窗口逐出偏差): n=2167 命中率53.6%
回测率: 99.7%（347/348 条近期判断已回测）
累计: 落账2826 已决2167 待决1
总命中: 51.9% [47~57%] n=347 （上期 47.6%） | 平均超额 -0.78pp
── 分方向 ──
回避 n=183 命中 57.4% [50~64%] 超额-0.7pp
看空 n= 54 命中 63.0% [50~75%] 超额-1.0pp ★可信
中性 n= 53 命中 50.9% [38~64%] 超额-0.3pp
看多 n= 45 命中 26.7% [16~41%] 超额-1.5pp ⚠️谨慎
观察 n= 12 命中 16.7% [5~45%] 超额-0.0pp ⚠️谨慎
── 来源可信度（n≥10 才列）──
- 四维扫描 n=150 57.3%
- v43_intent n= 50 54.0%
- 节点转折+ftshare扫描-21:45 n= 28 46.4%
✗ 龙头融合+确认链-21:40 n= 23 43.5%
✗ 晚间统一扫描-21:30 n= 13 30.8%
✗ 量价训练-每日提醒 n= 12 16.7%
✓ 盘中-1030主线 n= 10 70.0%
✗ 盘中-1130午盘 n= 10 30.0%
⚪ 未排期部件（2026-10-17 裁决: jobs.json 里 0 个 cron，不计入停摆；恢复=先排期再移回 LOOP_PARTS）:
· 超额制全量重算
· 经验学习闭环
· 每日判断练习仪(老板10-05指定)
用法: 下判断前先看本简报 —— 上面✅的来源可以更信，✗的来源要打折；🔴停摆部件是系统盲区。
```
## Script Output
The following data was collected by a pre-run script. Use it as context for your analysis.
```
{
"scan_time": "2026-11-05 10:30",
"trading_hours": true,
"sector_map_source": "stock_basic.industry(mootdx空→本地兜底)",
"sectors": {
"sectors_top": [
{
"name": "化工原料",
"avg_pct": 6.43,
"up_ratio": 1.0,
"hot_count": 3,
"hot_stocks": [
"300769(+6.5%)",
"603260(+6.5%)",
"603659(+6.3%)"
]
},
{
"name": "电气设备",
"avg_pct": 3.19,
"up_ratio": 1.0,
"hot_count": 6,
"hot_stocks": [
"688005(+6.3%)",
"002805(+4.0%)",
"603050(+3.6%)"
]
},
{
"name": "石油加工",
"avg_pct": 3.05,
"up_ratio": 1.0,
"hot_count": 2,
"hot_stocks": [
"600346(+5.3%)"
]
},
{
"name": "半导体",
"avg_pct": 2.9,
"up_ratio": 0.9,
"hot_count": 41,
"hot_stocks": [
"688172(+10.2%)",
"600206(+10.0%)",
"605111(+10.0%)",
"603375(+6.8%)",
"688019(+6.0%)"
]
},
{
"name": "化学制药",
"avg_pct": 2.79,
"up_ratio": 0.89,
"hot_count": 9,
"hot_stocks": [
"300759(+7.7%)",
"603259(+5.9%)",
"300363(+4.9%)",
"301246(+4.0%)"
]
},
{
"name": "汽车配件",
"avg_pct": 2.43,
"up_ratio": 1.0,
"hot_count": 6,
"hot_stocks": [
"002725(+4.4%)",
"002806(+4.2%)"
]
}
],
"sectors_bottom": [
{
"name": "软件服务",
"avg_pct": -1.61,
"up_ratio": 0.5,
"hot_count": 2,
"hot_stocks": [
"300377(-5.3%)"
]
},
{
"name": "建筑工程",
"avg_pct": -0.84,
"up_ratio": 0.0,
"hot_count": 3,
"hot_stocks": []
},
{
"name": "中成药",
"avg_pct": -0.38,
"up_ratio": 0.2,
"hot_count": 5,
"hot_stocks": []
},
{
"name": "通信设备",
"avg_pct": -0.32,
"up_ratio": 0.6,
"hot_count": 5,
"hot_stocks": [
"300308(-4.4%)",
"300502(-3.3%)"
]
},
{
"name": "环境保护",
"avg_pct": -0.27,
"up_ratio": 0.0,
"hot_count": 2,
"hot_stocks": []
},
{
"name": "新型电力",
"avg_pct": 0.28,
"up_ratio": 0.5,
"hot_count": 2,
"hot_stocks": []
}
],
"sector_count": 25,
"sector_range": "+6.43% → -1.61%",
"sector_map_source": "stock_basic.industry(mootdx空→本地兜底)"
},
"stocks": {
"gainers": [
{
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"close": 33.65,
"pct": 10.15,
"vol_ratio": 1.14,
"pos": "20%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1315.0
},
{
"code": "600206",
"close": 38.39,
"pct": 10.0,
"vol_ratio": 1.08,
"pos": "25%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 69.0
},
{
"code": "605111",
"close": 42.5,
"pct": 9.99,
"vol_ratio": 1.32,
"pos": "26%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 26.0
},
{
"code": "300759",
"close": 49.99,
"pct": 7.71,
"vol_ratio": 0.77,
"pos": "92%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 38.0
},
{
"code": "603375",
"close": 42.49,
"pct": 6.79,
"vol_ratio": 0.6,
"pos": "32%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 2.0
},
{
"code": "300769",
"close": 37.4,
"pct": 6.52,
"vol_ratio": 0.98,
"pos": "30%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 15.0
},
{
"code": "603260",
"close": 31.35,
"pct": 6.45,
"vol_ratio": 1.22,
"pos": "35%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 10.0
},
{
"code": "688005",
"close": 20.13,
"pct": 6.34,
"vol_ratio": 0.62,
"pos": "22%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1029.0
}
],
"losers": [
{
"code": "300377",
"close": 13.61,
"pct": -5.29,
"vol_ratio": 0.65,
"pos": "57%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 41.0
},
{
"code": "300308",
"close": 509.87,
"pct": -4.41,
"vol_ratio": 0.73,
"pos": "6%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势（反弹）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 33.0
},
{
"code": "688766",
"close": 273.69,
"pct": -3.29,
"vol_ratio": 0.73,
"pos": "13%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 814.0
},
{
"code": "300502",
"close": 190.07,
"pct": -3.27,
"vol_ratio": 0.64,
"pos": "6%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 58.0
}
],
"volume_surge": [],
"escape_alerts": [],
"all": [
{
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"close": 33.65,
"pct": 10.15,
"vol_ratio": 1.14,
"pos": "20%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1315.0
},
{
"code": "600206",
"close": 38.39,
"pct": 10.0,
"vol_ratio": 1.08,
"pos": "25%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 69.0
},
{
"code": "605111",
"close": 42.5,
"pct": 9.99,
"vol_ratio": 1.32,
"pos": "26%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 26.0
},
{
"code": "300759",
"close": 49.99,
"pct": 7.71,
"vol_ratio": 0.77,
"pos": "92%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 38.0
},
{
"code": "603375",
"close": 42.49,
"pct": 6.79,
"vol_ratio": 0.6,
"pos": "32%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 2.0
},
{
"code": "300769",
"close": 37.4,
"pct": 6.52,
"vol_ratio": 0.98,
"pos": "30%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 15.0
},
{
"code": "603260",
"close": 31.35,
"pct": 6.45,
"vol_ratio": 1.22,
"pos": "35%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 10.0
},
{
"code": "688005",
"close": 20.13,
"pct": 6.34,
"vol_ratio": 0.62,
"pos": "22%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1029.0
},
{
"code": "603659",
"close": 22.2,
"pct": 6.32,
"vol_ratio": 1.01,
"pos": "54%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 24.0
},
{
"code": "688019",
"close": 219.44,
"pct": 6.01,
"vol_ratio": 0.91,
"pos": "53%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 777.0
},
{
"code": "603259",
"close": 157.59,
"pct": 5.9,
"vol_ratio": 0.75,
"pos": "68%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 33.0
},
{
"code": "300435",
"close": 13.66,
"pct": 5.81,
"vol_ratio": 0.8,
"pos": "24%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 7.0
},
{
"code": "002083",
"close": 9.27,
"pct": 5.7,
"vol_ratio": 0.96,
"pos": "26%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 23.0
},
{
"code": "300632",
"close": 14.31,
"pct": 5.61,
"vol_ratio": 0.67,
"pos": "21%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 7.0
},
{
"code": "600346",
"close": 17.14,
"pct": 5.35,
"vol_ratio": 0.88,
"pos": "43%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 25.0
},
{
"code": "300377",
"close": 13.61,
"pct": -5.29,
"vol_ratio": 0.65,
"pos": "57%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 41.0
},
{
"code": "300363",
"close": 25.28,
"pct": 4.94,
"vol_ratio": 0.57,
"pos": "100%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 13.0
},
{
"code": "300102",
"close": 16.3,
"pct": 4.62,
"vol_ratio": 0.62,
"pos": "40%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 52.0
},
{
"code": "000688",
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"vol_ratio": 0.62,
"pos": "16%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 11.0
},
{
"code": "300308",
"close": 509.87,
"pct": -4.41,
"vol_ratio": 0.73,
"pos": "6%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势（反弹）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 33.0
},
{
"code": "002475",
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"pct": 4.4,
"vol_ratio": 0.76,
"pos": "50%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 71.0
},
{
"code": "002725",
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"pct": 4.38,
"vol_ratio": 0.68,
"pos": "18%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "603078",
"close": 23.87,
"pct": 4.33,
"vol_ratio": 0.69,
"pos": "15%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 8.0
},
{
"code": "688620",
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"pct": 4.32,
"vol_ratio": 0.6,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 995.0
},
{
"code": "002806",
"close": 12.27,
"pct": 4.16,
"vol_ratio": 0.52,
"pos": "18%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 2.0
},
{
"code": "300671",
"close": 38.27,
"pct": 4.05,
"vol_ratio": 0.58,
"pos": "14%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 13.0
},
{
"code": "002805",
"close": 14.67,
"pct": 4.04,
"vol_ratio": 0.97,
"pos": "25%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 22.0
},
{
"code": "301246",
"close": 16.4,
"pct": 3.99,
"vol_ratio": 0.68,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "35岁(正常拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 6.0
},
{
"code": "688385",
"close": 49.84,
"pct": 3.62,
"vol_ratio": 0.54,
"pos": "37%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 967.0
},
{
"code": "688820",
"close": 86.35,
"pct": 3.61,
"vol_ratio": 0.74,
"pos": "17%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 867.0
},
{
"code": "603050",
"close": 14.11,
"pct": 3.6,
"vol_ratio": 0.42,
"pos": "17%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1.0
},
{
"code": "002132",
"close": 3.5,
"pct": 3.55,
"vol_ratio": 0.58,
"pos": "12%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 20.0
},
{
"code": "300077",
"close": 16.32,
"pct": 3.55,
"vol_ratio": 0.72,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 21.0
},
{
"code": "688721",
"close": 31.37,
"pct": 3.53,
"vol_ratio": 0.88,
"pos": "20%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 198.0
},
{
"code": "688802",
"close": 499.01,
"pct": 3.45,
"vol_ratio": 0.68,
"pos": "25%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 251.0
},
{
"code": "688766",
"close": 273.69,
"pct": -3.29,
"vol_ratio": 0.73,
"pos": "13%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 814.0
},
{
"code": "300502",
"close": 190.07,
"pct": -3.27,
"vol_ratio": 0.64,
"pos": "6%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 58.0
},
{
"code": "688691",
"close": 54.2,
"pct": 3.22,
"vol_ratio": 0.39,
"pos": "31%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 347.0
},
{
"code": "688584",
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"pct": 3.16,
"vol_ratio": 0.88,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 787.0
},
{
"code": "300128",
"close": 4.08,
"pct": 3.03,
"vol_ratio": 0.66,
"pos": "20%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 16.0
},
{
"code": "002119",
"close": 19.37,
"pct": 2.98,
"vol_ratio": 0.72,
"pos": "16%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 23.0
},
{
"code": "300547",
"close": 21.25,
"pct": 2.91,
"vol_ratio": 0.52,
"pos": "17%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 2.0
},
{
"code": "688508",
"close": 57.49,
"pct": 2.9,
"vol_ratio": 0.56,
"pos": "18%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 265.0
},
{
"code": "688173",
"close": 10.22,
"pct": 2.82,
"vol_ratio": 0.49,
"pos": "16%",
"age": "35岁(正常拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 459.0
},
{
"code": "603527",
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"pct": 2.76,
"vol_ratio": 0.48,
"pos": "27%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "688416",
"close": 53.14,
"pct": 2.73,
"vol_ratio": 0.66,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 388.0
},
{
"code": "688100",
"close": 26.73,
"pct": 2.69,
"vol_ratio": 0.46,
"pos": "47%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 169.0
},
{
"code": "688609",
"close": 7.8,
"pct": 2.63,
"vol_ratio": 0.59,
"pos": "18%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 821.0
},
{
"code": "300467",
"close": 30.27,
"pct": 2.61,
"vol_ratio": 0.32,
"pos": "23%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1.0
},
{
"code": "002340",
"close": 5.94,
"pct": 2.59,
"vol_ratio": 0.6,
"pos": "36%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 43.0
},
{
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},
{
"code": "603809",
"close": 8.6,
"pct": 0.58,
"vol_ratio": 0.33,
"pos": "37%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 5.0
},
{
"code": "000778",
"close": 3.49,
"pct": -0.57,
"vol_ratio": 0.41,
"pos": "32%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 17.0
},
{
"code": "600332",
"close": 20.06,
"pct": -0.55,
"vol_ratio": 0.44,
"pos": "36%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 5.0
},
{
"code": "003000",
"close": 9.41,
"pct": 0.53,
"vol_ratio": 0.58,
"pos": "24%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "601096",
"close": 3.78,
"pct": 0.53,
"vol_ratio": 0.33,
"pos": "23%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 8.0
},
{
"code": "688052",
"close": 176.65,
"pct": -0.53,
"vol_ratio": 0.33,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 116.0
},
{
"code": "688110",
"close": 54.65,
"pct": 0.5,
"vol_ratio": 0.55,
"pos": "18%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1491.0
},
{
"code": "002120",
"close": 6.34,
"pct": 0.48,
"vol_ratio": 0.28,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 12.0
},
{
"code": "688816",
"close": 48.74,
"pct": -0.43,
"vol_ratio": 0.6,
"pos": "62%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 56.0
},
{
"code": "300453",
"close": 9.52,
"pct": -0.42,
"vol_ratio": 0.44,
"pos": "53%",
"age": "35岁(正常拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "600197",
"close": 9.51,
"pct": 0.42,
"vol_ratio": 0.35,
"pos": "48%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "002327",
"close": 5.49,
"pct": 0.37,
"vol_ratio": 0.35,
"pos": "9%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "下降趋势",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "000963",
"close": 27.7,
"pct": 0.36,
"vol_ratio": 0.43,
"pos": "50%",
"age": "35岁(正常拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 9.0
},
{
"code": "002563",
"close": 5.79,
"pct": 0.35,
"vol_ratio": 0.37,
"pos": "65%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 9.0
},
{
"code": "000813",
"close": 3.01,
"pct": 0.33,
"vol_ratio": 0.33,
"pos": "21%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "上升趋势（回踩）",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 13.0
},
{
"code": "601200",
"close": 6.86,
"pct": -0.29,
"vol_ratio": 0.41,
"pos": "54%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "603515",
"close": 15.0,
"pct": -0.27,
"vol_ratio": 0.41,
"pos": "24%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1.0
},
{
"code": "000885",
"close": 12.03,
"pct": -0.25,
"vol_ratio": 0.58,
"pos": "33%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 2.0
},
{
"code": "002010",
"close": 4.58,
"pct": -0.22,
"vol_ratio": 0.41,
"pos": "43%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 6.0
},
{
"code": "600056",
"close": 9.01,
"pct": -0.22,
"vol_ratio": 0.4,
"pos": "28%",
"age": "45岁(温和拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 5.0
},
{
"code": "000507",
"close": 4.71,
"pct": -0.21,
"vol_ratio": 0.53,
"pos": "19%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 3.0
},
{
"code": "002019",
"close": 9.51,
"pct": -0.21,
"vol_ratio": 0.42,
"pos": "26%",
"age": "35岁(正常拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 4.0
},
{
"code": "002287",
"close": 19.4,
"pct": -0.21,
"vol_ratio": 0.47,
"pos": "32%",
"age": "25岁(健康拉升)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1.0
},
{
"code": "603365",
"close": 15.57,
"pct": 0.19,
"vol_ratio": 0.28,
"pos": "12%",
"age": "55岁(衰竭减速)",
"btype": "横盘震荡",
"escape": "",
"vol_t": 1.0
}
],
"total_scanned": 160
}
}
📊 因果基因（脚本自证）
- 数据源: mootdx block 概念板块映射(空则 stock_basic.industry 本地兜底) + DataHub.get_daily(60日) + /tmp/dynamic_scan.json缓存
- 分析路径: 个股涨跌反推板块热度 + 涨幅/跌幅/放量/逃顶检测(position_utils/wei_laoshi_patterns)
- 判断: 涨幅最大/跌幅最大/放量异动/逃顶预警四类清单(JSON)，供盘中决策引用
[funnel-merge] sectors ← 111个行业 (全市场行业·S1 sina全市场实时快照 asof=20261105) | 原样本反推口径见上方 JSON 的 sector_map_source
## 位置与量能判读（量是因价是果）
- 扫描160只: 强势>3% 8只 / 弱势<-3% 4只 / 放量异动(量比>1.5) 0只（阈值=脚本口径）
- 位置五维·MA60分位: 低位<20% 3只 / 中位20-65% 8只 / 高位>65% 1只（规范口径 position_layer 20/65, 低位看价顶部看量）
- 量能三标准 [数据日20261105·源S1 sina全市场实时快照]: 今日 6.46亿手 vs 昨 12.89亿手 -49.8% | 近1232日分位 12% → 放量异动=增量确认候选(需突破配合) | 缩量止跌: 触发候选(量缩, 深成指+1.94%) | 天量见天价: 未触发(分位12% vs 触发线95%)
- 逃顶预警0只: 无 → 高位看量, 触发票按减仓预案处理
## 主线识别·三漏斗+同比双层比
- 板块间(个股反推): 热度TOP 其他均值12.31%(上涨比1.0) vs 冷 玻璃均值-3.03%（有效板块111个 区间+12.31% → -3.03%）
- 板块内双层比: TOP板块异动股 301139(+12.3%)（个股行情≠板块行为, 以分化>5pp为界看个股）
- 三漏斗①板块成交额>500亿 [数据日20261105·源S1 sina全市场实时快照]: 热度TOP 其他 0亿✗ | 黄金 137亿✗ | 电气设备 954亿✓ → 全市场过门 5/111 个行业; 成交TOP(资金在哪): 半导体1786亿 / 元器件1185亿 / 电气设备954亿
- 三漏斗②产业链联动 [源 industry_chain 图谱·关键词+成分股归并, 局限:非官方产业链口径]: 其他→无链映射·同业归并 1只 上涨1/下跌0 均值+12.3% [联动不可判·局限缺产业链映射] | 黄金→无链映射·同业归并 10只 上涨10/下跌0 均值+5.8% [联动不可判·局限缺产业链映射] | 电气设备→锂电池 同链3/3同向(小金属+1.9/汽车整车+0.8/电气设备+4.1)✓ → 可判过门 1/3
- 三漏斗③热度持续≥3天 [热度日=当日行业均值跑赢全市场均值; 序列源 sector_daily 5年+当日快照]: 其他 连续1天(近5日 -9.7/+0.8/+80.3/-1.6/+12.3)✗ | 黄金 连续3天(近5日 -4.2/-1.8/+0.1/+10.6/+5.8)✓ | 电气设备 连续3天(近5日 -3.3/+2.2/+0.2/+3.4/+4.1)✓ → 过门 2/3
- 三漏斗合成(TOP3, 数据层只给事实): 其他:①不过/②待判(缺映射)/③不过 | 黄金:①不过/②待判(缺映射)/③过 | 电气设备:①过/②过/③过 → 三关全过 1/3 (主线由 AI 裁定, 数据层不下结论)
- 未过三漏斗 → 动态榜只当异动线索, 不当主线结论、不追高
## 情绪周期锚·仓位与证伪
- 涨停家数: 67 | 跌停: 1 | 炸板: 16 → 炸板率19.3% | 连板高度: 4板(002578连4板 / 600537连4板 / 601599连4板, 回看4个有池交易日) | 情绪七度: 温和→温和 [ftshare 20261105] → 五阶段(冰点/修复/发酵/高潮/退潮)由 AI 按此裁定, 数据层不下定论
- 仓位=min(大盘阶段,板块数): 大盘阶段: 闸门: ⛔ 关（观察照常，只记录不动钱） ←源链路09:30闸门@2026-11-05 09:30:12 | 有效板块111个(源S1 sina全市场实时快照 asof=20261105) → 只给板块档, 仓位待闸门定
- 证伪: 若其他次日高开低走且量比>1.5 → 按一日游处理不追; 若逃顶票X继续放量新高 → 逃顶判据复核
📊 因果基因
- 数据源: data_hub(mootdx 分时/分钟K + westock 日K) + stock_basic.industry 板块映射 + 三漏斗字段(sina全市场实时→tushare日线→sector_daily 5年 三级降级阶梯; 情绪=ftshare涨跌停池; 闸门=链路09:30闸门; 产业链=industry_chain图谱)
- 分析路径: 10:30 全市场异动扫描 → 位置五维(MA60分位, 规范口径20/65) → 三漏斗(板块成交额/产业链联动/热度序列)+同比双层比 → 情绪锚仓位
- 判断: 缺字段一律标 [不可用] 并写明降级原因, 不下结论；三漏斗未过 → 动态榜只当异动线索不当主线
[chain] 10:30主线 已写入 /tmp/fugui_cron_output/
```
## ⚠️ 资金面三问（强制·2026-10-21 老板令：先答三问再引数据）
凡输出含资金面/主力行为判断（谁在买、主力意图、建仓/洗盘/出货/承接），必须在判断段**开头**先答三问：
1. **谁在买？** 主力四分类：汪汪队（维稳，反向指标）/ 大机构（产业逻辑，慢而长）/ 某庄（独立控盘）/ 游资（事件驱动，快）——不同类型决定你该用什么节奏跟。
2. **为什么买？** 位置+意图：低位建仓（吸筹/试盘）/ 中位洗盘（换手降阻力）/ 高位派发（借势出货）。同一量价在不同位置含义相反。
3. **买了之后会做什么？** 判断下一步动作：继续加仓 / 洗盘 / 拉升 / 出货——这是"脚印会变，走路的人不变"的那层意图。
**硬约束**：
- 三问是**答案层**，数据是**证据层**。先答三问，再用数据佐证；不得只报数据不下意图判断。
- 禁止把意图推断问题降级为"缺数据"问题——归纳法（阈值→回测→期望值）回答不了演绎问题（主力为什么这么做）。
- 三问答不出（证据不足）→ 明写"意图不明，不判断"，禁止硬编一个主力动机。
---
你是富贵盘中分析师（10:30 主线漏斗）。上方【数据摘要】来自零token动态扫描：全市场异动（涨幅/放量/逃顶）、个股反推的板块热度、位置五维、三漏斗字段、情绪锚，以及上游链路（06:00晨报/08:00四维/09:30闸门/10:00感知）。
严格三段，先事实后判断：
① 现在资金在哪些板块：抄数据事实（热度TOP板块与均值、异动股、放量股、逃顶警报），做板块间与板块内的同比双层比（同比=主力探测器：同等条件谁跌得少涨得高）。
② 主线裁定+个股：过三漏斗（成交额>500亿/产业链联动/持续≥3天）才叫主线，没过就只当异动线索不追高；给出主线板块、每板块首期龙或补涨龙候选最多3只、匹配战法（登高望远/现龙在田/龙凤呈祥/三振）与60分钟入场观察点；环境仓位档必须给。
③ 证伪：主线假设与个股候选各配「如果价格走了对面我就错了」的可核对条件（价格/量能阈值+到期时点）。
必落 judgment_ledger：source=盘中-1030主线、date、direction、horizon、trigger、falsify、judgment、reason 三要素齐全（写入端拒收空件）。补正后不得清理隔离表：禁止对 judgments_rejected 执行任何 DELETE/UPDATE——它是复发台账，同 key 再拒由写入端自动记 last_seen/reject_count，人工删行=销毁证据（2026-10-20 根修接入）。
数据字段标「需补数据」时如实说缺字段、不许脑补数字；上游链路 ❌未产出要在结论里写明断链影响。
## 🔮动作预测格式（强制·2026-10-30 老板令·资金面理解升级）
凡判断含主力意图（建仓/洗盘/拉升/出货），落账时必须同时给【动作预测】：把意图转成可核对的价格/量能动作写进 trigger（例：判断“主力建仓”→“5-20天内放量（量比>2）突破X元”），falsify=反向动作（跌破Z元/缩量阴跌）。意图本身不可回测，动作兑现率可回测——不给动作预测的意图判断=不可证伪=拒落账。
**Response Characters:** 3713
## Response
# 盘中10:30 主线漏斗 · 2026-11-05（数据 10:30 快照）
**R0 闸门：⛔ 关**（唯一真源 analysis_gate.py @09:30:12）—— ①近3日创新低=11/02、11/03 未过；②不适用。**观察照常，只记录不动钱：下文所有买点均为"闸门开后预案"，不是现在买。**
---
## ① 现在资金在哪些板块（事实）
**板块间同比（S1 sina 全市场实时快照 asof=20261105，n_行业=111，全市场均值 +2.21%）**
| 板块 | 今日均值 | 跑赢市场 | 近5日热度序列 | 成交额 |
|:---|:---|:---|:---|:---|
| 电气设备 | +4.06% | +1.85pp | -3.34/+2.16/+0.19/+3.41/+4.06 → **连续3天跑赢** | **954亿✓** |
| 半导体 | +3.88% | +1.67pp | -5.33/+2.92/-4.83/+10.18/+3.88 → 连续2天 | **1786亿✓（全市场第1）** |
| 化工原料 | +2.86% | +0.65pp | 连续3天 | 未进成交TOP3 |
| 化学制药 | +2.28% | +0.07pp | 连续3天 | 未进成交TOP3 |
| 软件服务/环境保护/中成药 | -1.61%/-0.27%/-0.38% | 跑输 | — | — |
**板块内双层比（个股 vs 所属板块，5日累计·sector_daily 至11/04）**：新洁能 5日+12.0% vs 半导体5日-3.1%（+15.1pp）｜有研新材 +14.2% vs -3.1%（+17.3pp）｜容百科技 +5.9% vs 电气设备-0.6%（+6.5pp）→ **三只都比板块强 = 同比心法好，是板块里的领涨腿，不是被板块抬起来的**。
**异动/警报**：强势>3% 8只、弱势<-3% 4只、**放量异动(量比>1.5) 0只、逃顶预警 0只**。涨停67 / 跌停1 / 炸板16（炸板率19.3%）｜连板高度4板｜情绪七度 温和→温和。
⚠️ 口径警示：量能行"今日6.46亿手 vs 昨12.89亿手 -49.8%"是**10:30时点值 vs 昨全天**，不等价，全天量能待收盘复核；分位12%按低量解读需打折。
---
## ② 主线裁定 + 个股（判断段）
### 🔮 资金面三问（先答再引数据）
1. **谁在买？** **游资打板型为主，机构未全力跟**——证据：有研新材/新洁能 11/04、11/05 两连板，60分钟第一小时直接拉到涨停且封板段缩量（有研11/04尾盘段仅3.1万手）；容百科技三连阳但今日量能仅 0.81×MA20，是谨慎型资金。不是汪汪队（非权重护盘节奏）。
2. **为什么买？** 三只全部处在**低位**（60日分位 22~26%，距60日高点 -28%~-35%，11/02-11/03 刚见60日低点）→ 意图是**低位承接/试盘 + 板块共振**（半导体回暖、锂电链3/3同向），**不是高位派发**——高点日成交量仅占60日总量 1.9%~3.7%，高位没有筹码可派。
3. **买了之后会做什么？** 2连板的两只**明日大概率分歧洗盘**：回踩昨涨停价（38.64 / 34.90）若缩量守住 = 主力维护、继续做；放量破位 = 拉高出逃（按模式C处理）。容百科技**必须补量**：全日量>1388万手（MA20）→ 补涨；继续缩量 → 大概率回落。
### 主线裁定（三漏斗）
- **电气设备 = 当日唯一三关全过**：①成交额954亿>500亿 ✓ ②锂电池链 3/3 同向（小金属+1.9 / 汽车整车+0.8 / 电气设备+4.1）✓ ③热度连续3天 ✓ → **主线**。
- **半导体 = 只当异动线索**：①1786亿✓ ②缺产业链映射·不可判 ③热度仅连续2天（11/03 -4.83%跑输市场）✗ → **未过三漏斗，不追高**。
- 化工原料/化学制药：③过但成交额未过500亿 → 观察。
### 个股候选（按11/05临时覆盖：直接从涨幅靠前找强势/龙头，板块降级为标注）
| # | 标的 | 涨幅 | 60日分位 | 四层漏斗判定 | 战法 | 60分钟入场观察点（**闸门开后才执行**） |
|:--|:---|:---|:---|:---|:---|:---|
| 1 | **新洁能 605111**（半导体） | +9.99%（2连板） | 26% 低位 | 第1层：低点后量价异常2次✓、高点卖出量占2.5%✓、阴跌实体缩小后11/04放量转强✓、板块41只异动抱团✓ → **有主力** | **现龙在田** | 回踩 **38.64**（昨涨停价）缩量不破 = 买点③回踩二次确认；60分收盘破 **37.06**（昨60分低）→ 否决 |
| 2 | **有研新材 600206**（半导体） | +10.00%（2连板） | 25% 低位 | 第1层：高点无逃跑✓、板块共振✓，但低点后量价异常0次（今量1.02×MA20）→ **建仓证据弱，属启动初期** | 现龙在田（追板风险高） | 支撑 **34.90**（昨涨停价），开板回踩缩量守住再看；破34.90 → 否决 |
| 3 | **容百科技 688005**（电气设备·唯一主线内） | +6.34% | 22% 低位 | 第1层：高点无逃跑✓、11/02放量下跌后3连阳修复；**今日缩量上涨（0.81×MA20）→ 增量未确认** | 现龙在田初期 + 买点③预案 | 全日量 **>1388万手（MA20，量比≥1.0且最好>1.5）** 且收于 20.37（今分时高）上方 = 确认；破 18.93（昨收）→ 否决 |
**环境仓位档：现 0 成（闸门⛔关，只观察不动钱）。** 闸门开后预案：深成指若今明两日不创新低（11/04 低点10826.83 已高于 11/03 的10810.42，11/04 放量+4.22%已满足②），明晨闸门有望翻开 → 按上涨态 5 成起步（今日炸板率19.3%情绪温和，不给7成）。
---
## ③ 证伪（如果价格走了对面，我就错了）
- **大盘/闸门**：11/06 前深成指收盘跌破 **10826.83**（11/04低）→ 止跌证伪，继续关闸、全部降级。
- **电气设备主线（判断3590）**：11/06-11/07 板块均值**连续2日跑输全市场**，或成交额跌破500亿 → 主线证伪，撤候选。
- **新洁能（判断3591）**：收盘跌破 **37.06**，或 11/06 高开低走炸板收阴且涨幅<+7% → 2日结构破坏，按一日游处理。
- **有研新材**：收盘跌破 **34.90**（昨涨停价）→ 主力维护失败。
- **容百科技**：全天量<1388万手且收阴 → 缩量上涨证伪，不追。
- **半导体升格**：11/06 行业均值跑赢市场（streak→3天）→ 才升格主线候选；跑输 → 维持异动线索。
---
## 落账（judgments.db 回读已验）
| id | source | 日期 | 方向 | 标的 | 三要素 |
|:--|:---|:---|:---|:---|:--|
| 3590 | 盘中-1030主线 | 2026-11-05 | 看多(h=5) | 电气设备 | trigger✓ falsify✓ reason✓ |
| 3591 | 盘中-1030主线 | 2026-11-05 | 看多(h=5) | 新洁能 605111.SH | ✓（含动作预测：5-10日回踩38.64不破→放量突破42.50） |
| 3592 | 盘中-1030主线 | 2026-11-05 | 中性(h=3) | 半导体 | ✓（三漏斗③未过=异动线索） |
- 3591 初次写入 target_code 被 `_CODE_OK`（需带交易所后缀）归一为空并打标 `normalized:code-invalid`，已 UPDATE 修正为 `605111.SH` 并回读确认；**judgments_rejected 未动（262条）**。
- 门禁标签自动带上 `buy_side_low_trust`（看多腿实测 26.7% 命中、-1.5pp，属降权记录）——本批判断按降权采信，来源侧 盘中-1030主线 近期 70%（n=10，✓可信）。
- 源可用性：60分钟由 westock 1分钟聚合（mootdx 分时接口 date 格式 ValidationException → 自动降级），今日仅09:30-10:30一根60分K；半导体②产业链联动缺映射 = **[不可用·不可判]**，未脑补。